GEO

Industrials

The GEO Group, Inc. · Security & Protection Services · $3B

UQS Score — Balanced Preset
48.4
Below Average

The GEO Group, Inc. scores 48.4/100 using the Balanced preset.

UQS vs Industrials Sector
GEO
48.4
Sector avg
42.4
Quality
Neutral
Moat
Weak
Growth
Neutral
Risk
Neutral
Valuation
Attractive

What is The GEO Group, Inc.?

The GEO Group operates secure facilities, reentry centers, and community supervision programs across the United States, Australia, and South Africa.

GEO earns revenue through government contracts to manage correctional and detention facilities, electronic monitoring programs, and reentry services. The company also delivers rehabilitation, education, and treatment programs under its GEO Continuum of Care platform, supporting individuals transitioning from incarceration back into communities.

Founded in 1994 and headquartered in Boca Raton, Florida.

  • Secure facility management and operations
  • Electronic monitoring and community supervision
  • Reentry and rehabilitation services
  • International secure services

Is GEO a Good Stock to Buy?

UQS Score rates GEO as Below Average overall.

Valuation stands out as Attractive relative to peers, and both Quality and Growth register as Neutral — neither a clear drag nor a standout strength.

Moat and Risk both score Weak, reflecting limited competitive differentiation and meaningful exposure to regulatory, political, and contract-renewal uncertainty.

See the exact pillar breakdown and full financial metrics by signing up for a Pro account at UQS Score. Sign up free →

Past performance does not guarantee future results. UQS Score is based on fundamental data and is not a buy/sell recommendation.

Does GEO pay dividends?

No — The GEO Group, Inc. does not currently pay a dividend.

GEO does not currently pay a dividend. The company has historically directed cash toward debt management and operational obligations rather than shareholder distributions, which is worth noting for income-focused investors evaluating this stock.

When does GEO report earnings?

The GEO Group reports earnings on a quarterly cadence, typical for US-listed equities.

Revenue trends are tied closely to government contract activity and facility utilization rates. Performance can shift meaningfully based on policy changes affecting detention and supervision demand.

For the most recent quarter's results, visit The GEO Group's investor relations page directly.

GEO Price History

+266.3% over 5Y

Monthly close, adjusted for stock splits and dividend reinvestment.

Return Calculator

What if I invested in The GEO Group, Inc.?

$
Today it would be worth
$33,587
That's a +236% total return, or +27.4% annualized.

Based on The GEO Group, Inc.'s historical closing prices, adjusted for stock splits and dividend reinvestment. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does The GEO Group do?

The GEO Group manages secure correctional and detention facilities, electronic monitoring programs, and reentry services under government contracts. It operates in the United States, Australia, and South Africa, and also provides rehabilitation and treatment programs through its GEO Continuum of Care platform.

Does GEO pay dividends?

GEO does not currently pay a dividend. Investors seeking income should be aware that the company has prioritized debt reduction and operational costs over shareholder distributions in recent periods.

When does GEO report earnings?

The GEO Group follows a standard quarterly earnings schedule. For confirmed dates and the latest results, check the investor relations section of the company's official website.

Is GEO a good stock to buy?

UQS Score rates GEO as Below Average. Valuation appears Attractive, but Moat and Risk both register as Weak — reflecting contract dependency and regulatory exposure. The complete analysis is available to Pro members.

Is GEO overvalued?

Based on the UQS Valuation pillar, GEO is rated Attractive, suggesting the market may not be pricing in a premium relative to fundamentals. Full valuation metrics are available in the Pro breakdown.

What is GEO's market cap bracket?

The GEO Group is classified as a mid-cap company. This places it in a range where institutional coverage exists but liquidity and volatility can differ from large-cap peers in the Industrials sector.

Is GEO a long-term quality investment?

As a long-term quality indicator, GEO's Below Average UQS Score — driven by Weak Moat and Risk ratings — suggests caution. Investors focused on durable competitive advantages may find stronger candidates elsewhere in the [Industrials sector](/sector/industrials).

What sector does GEO belong to?

GEO is classified under the Industrials sector, specifically within government services and facility management. Its revenue is almost entirely contract-driven, making it sensitive to public-sector budget and policy decisions.

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Pro Analysis

GEO — Score History

40455055Apr 2Apr 12Apr 22May 2May 12May 22May 24v5
Score changes· 9 most recent
DateUQSQualityMoatGrowthRiskValueChange
May 16, 202648.647.521.057.950.782.0+3.5
May 9, 202645.146.321.048.039.085.3-2.5
May 7, 202647.646.021.058.839.188.1-1.3
May 3, 202648.946.021.058.839.197.00.0
Apr 26, 202648.946.021.058.839.196.7-0.1
Apr 19, 202649.046.021.058.839.197.4-0.4
Apr 12, 202649.446.021.058.839.1100.0+0.5
Apr 5, 202648.946.021.058.839.196.6-0.5
Apr 2, 202649.446.021.058.839.1100.0

GEO — Pillar Breakdown

Quality

47.5/100 (25%)

The GEO Group, Inc. has average quality metrics, with room for improvement in margins or capital efficiency.

Capital Efficiency (ROIC)Weak

How effectively capital is deployed to generate returns.

Return on EquityStrong

Profitability relative to shareholders' equity.

Operating ProfitabilityModerate

Ability to convert revenue into operating profit.

Net ProfitabilityModerate

Bottom-line profit as a share of revenue.

Gross Profit / AssetsModerate

Asset productivity — how much gross profit each dollar of assets generates.

Cash GenerationWeak

Free cash flow relative to market value.

Growth

57.9/100 (20%)

The GEO Group, Inc. demonstrates healthy growth trends across revenue and earnings.

Recent Revenue TrendModerate

Revenue trajectory over the last twelve months.

3Y Revenue CAGRWeak

Compound annual revenue growth rate over 3 years.

EPS GrowthStrong

Year-over-year earnings per share growth.

Forward Revenue OutlookStrong

Analyst consensus for future revenue growth.

Forward EPS GrowthWeak

Analyst consensus for future earnings growth.

Risk

50.7/100 (15%)

The GEO Group, Inc. has some risk factors including moderate leverage or solvency concerns.

Financial LeverageWeak

Debt levels relative to earnings capacity.

Debt/EquityModerate

Total debt relative to shareholder equity.

Current RatioStrong

Short-term liquidity — ability to pay near-term obligations.

Interest CoverageWeak

Earnings capacity relative to interest payments.

Valuation

80.4/100 (15%)

The GEO Group, Inc. appears attractively valued relative to its earnings, cash flows, and sector peers.

Earnings YieldStrong

Inverse of forward P/E — higher yield means cheaper stock.

EV/EBITDA vs SectorStrong

Enterprise value multiple relative to sector median.

Moat

21/100 (25%)

The GEO Group, Inc. operates in a highly competitive environment with limited sustainable advantages. The Moat pillar evaluates competitive advantages across five dimensions: Switching Costs, Network Effects, Cost Advantage, Intangible Assets, and Scale & Ecosystem. Sign in to customize moat ratings for GEO.

Score Composition

Quality
47.5×25%11.9
Growth
57.9×20%11.6
Risk
50.7×15%7.6
Valuation
80.4×15%12.1
Moat
21.0×25%5.3
Total
48.4Below Average

Financial Data

More Stock Analysis

How is the GEO UQS Score Calculated?

The UQS (Unified Quality Score) for The GEO Group, Inc. is calculated using a proprietary 6-pillar framework with 29 financial metrics. Each pillar evaluates a different dimension on a 0–100 scale, then combines into a single weighted score. Scoring thresholds are calibrated per sector. Momentum is an optional Pro toggle — without it, you get the 5-pillar / 25-metric core shown below.

Quality (25%) measures profitability and capital efficiency — ROIC, ROE, margins, GP/Assets, and FCF Yield.

Moat (25%) assesses The GEO Group, Inc.'s competitive advantages across switching costs, network effects, cost advantages, intangible assets, and ecosystem scale.

Growth (20%) tracks revenue trajectory and earnings momentum, combining historical results with analyst forward estimates.

Risk (15%) is inversely scored — lower leverage and strong balance sheet health result in higher scores.

Valuation (15%) measures whether The GEO Group, Inc. is fairly priced using earnings yield, price-to-FCF, PEG ratio, and EV/EBITDA relative to sector peers.

Six investor-inspired presets are available, each with different pillar weights: Balanced, Buffett, Munger, Lynch, Cathie Wood, and Graham. The public score shown here uses the Balanced preset. Learn more in our FAQ.