GEO

Industrials

The GEO Group, Inc. · Security & Protection Services · $4B

UQS Score — Balanced Preset
33.3
Below Average

The GEO Group, Inc. scores 33.3/100 using the Balanced preset.

UQS vs Industrials Sector
GEO
33.3
Sector avg
42.4
Quality
Weak
Moat
Weak
Growth
Weak
Risk
Neutral
Valuation
Attractive

What is The GEO Group, Inc.?

The GEO Group operates secure facilities, reentry centers, and community supervision programs across the United States, Australia, and South Africa.

GEO earns revenue through government contracts to manage correctional and detention facilities, electronic monitoring programs, and reentry services. The company also delivers rehabilitation, education, and treatment programs under its GEO Continuum of Care platform, supporting individuals transitioning from incarceration back into communities.

Founded in 1994 and headquartered in Boca Raton, Florida.

  • Secure facility management and operations
  • Electronic monitoring and community supervision
  • Reentry and rehabilitation services
  • International secure services

Is GEO a Good Stock to Buy?

UQS Score rates GEO as Below Average overall.

Valuation stands out as Attractive relative to peers, and both Quality and Growth register as Neutral — neither a clear drag nor a standout strength.

Moat and Risk both score Weak, reflecting limited competitive differentiation and meaningful exposure to regulatory, political, and contract-renewal uncertainty.

See the exact pillar breakdown and full financial metrics by signing up for a Pro account at UQS Score. Sign up free →

Past performance does not guarantee future results. UQS Score is based on fundamental data and is not a buy/sell recommendation.

Does GEO pay dividends?

No — The GEO Group, Inc. does not currently pay a dividend.

GEO does not currently pay a dividend. The company has historically directed cash toward debt management and operational obligations rather than shareholder distributions, which is worth noting for income-focused investors evaluating this stock.

When does GEO report earnings?

The GEO Group reports earnings on a quarterly cadence, typical for US-listed equities.

Revenue trends are tied closely to government contract activity and facility utilization rates. Performance can shift meaningfully based on policy changes affecting detention and supervision demand.

For the most recent quarter's results, visit The GEO Group's investor relations page directly.

GEO Price History

+279.8% over 5Y

Monthly close, adjusted for stock splits and dividend reinvestment.

Return Calculator

What if I invested in The GEO Group, Inc.?

$
Today it would be worth
$46,098
That's a +361% total return, or +35.7% annualized.

Based on The GEO Group, Inc.'s historical closing prices, adjusted for stock splits and dividend reinvestment. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does The GEO Group do?

The GEO Group manages secure correctional and detention facilities, electronic monitoring programs, and reentry services under government contracts. It operates in the United States, Australia, and South Africa, and also provides rehabilitation and treatment programs through its GEO Continuum of Care platform.

Does GEO pay dividends?

GEO does not currently pay a dividend. Investors seeking income should be aware that the company has prioritized debt reduction and operational costs over shareholder distributions in recent periods.

When does GEO report earnings?

The GEO Group follows a standard quarterly earnings schedule. For confirmed dates and the latest results, check the investor relations section of the company's official website.

Is GEO a good stock to buy?

UQS Score rates GEO as Below Average. Valuation appears Attractive, but Moat and Risk both register as Weak — reflecting contract dependency and regulatory exposure. The complete analysis is available to Pro members.

Is GEO overvalued?

Based on the UQS Valuation pillar, GEO is rated Attractive, suggesting the market may not be pricing in a premium relative to fundamentals. Full valuation metrics are available in the Pro breakdown.

What is GEO's market cap bracket?

The GEO Group is classified as a mid-cap company. This places it in a range where institutional coverage exists but liquidity and volatility can differ from large-cap peers in the Industrials sector.

Is GEO a long-term quality investment?

As a long-term quality indicator, GEO's Below Average UQS Score — driven by Weak Moat and Risk ratings — suggests caution. Investors focused on durable competitive advantages may find stronger candidates elsewhere in the [Industrials sector](/sector/industrials).

What sector does GEO belong to?

GEO is classified under the Industrials sector, specifically within government services and facility management. Its revenue is almost entirely contract-driven, making it sensitive to public-sector budget and policy decisions.

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Pro Analysis

GEO — Score History

25303540455055Jul 11Jul 29Aug 16Sep 3Sep 21Oct 8
Score changes· 14 most recent
DateUQSQualityMoatGrowthRiskValueChange
Aug 17, 202633.230.021.00.048.987.7-13.5
Aug 1, 202646.747.521.057.950.769.4+0.2
Jul 26, 202646.547.521.057.950.767.8-0.1
Jul 25, 202646.647.521.057.950.768.70.0
Jul 24, 202646.647.521.057.950.768.6+0.1
Jul 23, 202646.547.521.057.950.767.90.0
Jul 22, 202646.547.521.057.950.767.7-0.1
Jul 21, 202646.647.521.057.950.768.5-0.3
Jul 17, 202646.947.521.057.950.770.3+0.1
Jul 16, 202646.847.521.057.950.769.90.0

GEO — Pillar Breakdown

◆

Quality

— 30.0/100 (25%)

The GEO Group, Inc. currently shows below-average quality metrics, suggesting challenges with profitability.

Capital Efficiency (ROIC)Weak

How effectively capital is deployed to generate returns.

Return on EquityStrong

Profitability relative to shareholders' equity.

Operating ProfitabilityWeak

Ability to convert revenue into operating profit.

Cash GenerationWeak

Free cash flow relative to market value.

▲

Growth

— 0.0/100 (20%)

The GEO Group, Inc. faces growth headwinds with declining or stagnant revenue trends.

Recent Revenue TrendWeak

Revenue trajectory over the last twelve months.

Forward Revenue OutlookWeak

Analyst consensus for future revenue growth.

◈

Risk

— 48.9/100 (15%)

The GEO Group, Inc. has some risk factors including moderate leverage or solvency concerns.

Financial LeverageWeak

Debt levels relative to earnings capacity.

Current RatioStrong

Short-term liquidity — ability to pay near-term obligations.

Interest CoverageWeak

Earnings capacity relative to interest payments.

●

Valuation

— 88.3/100 (15%)

The GEO Group, Inc. appears attractively valued relative to its earnings, cash flows, and sector peers.

EV/EBITDA vs SectorStrong

Enterprise value multiple relative to sector median.

⬡

Moat

— 21/100 (25%)

The GEO Group, Inc. operates in a highly competitive environment with limited sustainable advantages. The Moat pillar evaluates competitive advantages across five dimensions: Switching Costs, Network Effects, Cost Advantage, Intangible Assets, and Scale & Ecosystem. Sign in to customize moat ratings for GEO.

Score Composition

Quality
30.0×25%7.5
Growth
0.0×20%0.0
Risk
48.9×15%7.3
Valuation
88.3×15%13.2
Moat
21.0×25%5.3
Total
33.3Below Average

Financial Data

More Stock Analysis

How is the GEO UQS Score Calculated?

The UQS (Unified Quality Score) for The GEO Group, Inc. is calculated using a proprietary 6-pillar framework with 29 financial metrics. Each pillar evaluates a different dimension on a 0–100 scale, then combines into a single weighted score. Scoring thresholds are calibrated per sector. Momentum is an optional Pro toggle — without it, you get the 5-pillar / 25-metric core shown below.

Quality (25%) measures profitability and capital efficiency — ROIC, ROE, margins, GP/Assets, and FCF Yield.

Moat (25%) assesses The GEO Group, Inc.'s competitive advantages across switching costs, network effects, cost advantages, intangible assets, and ecosystem scale.

Growth (20%) tracks revenue trajectory and earnings momentum, combining historical results with analyst forward estimates.

Risk (15%) is inversely scored — lower leverage and strong balance sheet health result in higher scores.

Valuation (15%) measures whether The GEO Group, Inc. is fairly priced using earnings yield, price-to-FCF, PEG ratio, and EV/EBITDA relative to sector peers.

Six investor-inspired presets are available, each with different pillar weights: Balanced, Buffett, Munger, Lynch, Cathie Wood, and Graham. The public score shown here uses the Balanced preset. Learn more in our FAQ.